Re-revised projection for November 7

Now that I've calmed down from last week's ugly Foley mess, I've migrated back towards my original projection of Republicans holding small majorities in both the Senate and the House, although now I think it will really be razor thin. Given how quickly the news cycle moves and how short peoples' memories are, the Foley mess will ding Republicans because it will just be another thing piled up against them. Still, the next few weeks are going to seem like a political rollercoaster to those of us wired into events and whose votes are probably already firmed up. For those who casually follow the news and whose votes fluctuate between parties, I can see an overall numbness to controversy setting in. A very major, last second controversy could still sink the Republicans, but absent that security is going to trump whatever it is the Democrats decided to run on this year, and regardless of the Republican record, people still don't trust their security in the hands of Democrats. Democrats have been using the wrong security rhetoric for three years now, and it is going to bite them again.