Well, here we are. Today the convention begins. Here are my thoughts. Let me know yours in the comments below.
1. There will be no terrorist attack (praying to God that's the case, anyway). Scares, possibly, but no attack. New York is a lot harder a target right now than al Qaeda usually goes for.
2. The press will be in a tizzy over this convention. There will be no other news all week. And the press will churn out story after story of negativity, giving way too much time to the nut jobs out in the streets who give (peaceful) protesting a bad name.
3. The Republicans will have a strong, clean, simple message. They will outline what Bush will do with four more years. Bush will be very eloquent in his acceptance speech. He may even laugh that laugh that makes the skin crawl on lefties.
4. At times, New York will look so chaotic that many Americans will wonder what's become of the country. Most will not understand that if any city thrives on this kind of thing, its New York. They will pity Bush a little bit.
5. Conservatives will pan this convention. They will rightly feel betrayed by its very, very moderate tenor.
6. The media will pan this convention. They will bring every gun to bear on the President, and they will expect zero or even slightly negative bounce.
7. Polls will show about a 4 point bounce for Bush. The moderate tone will play well for Bush, much like compassionate conservativism did 4 years ago.
8. The media, betrayed by their main man Kerry, will begin to turn their guns inward on him.
1 comment:
All great points. I agree with every one.
#2 is convenient for the media as they can avoid even thinking about their own candidate. (Any day he isn't in the spotlight is good.)
I hadn't thought of #5 but that's gonna happen for sure. I am one who will be disappointed, but I understand the need.
#8 appears to be starting, judging by that Miami Herald article. The Miami Herald is rabidly pro-Democrat party. Part of the 40 year corruption in Florida is because the Miami Herald has assiduously avoided checking the illegal excesses of politicians. At the point when a drug dealer became the mayor of Miami I think they realized they had gone too far. Only slowed them down a bit. They haven't really reformed. They did, however, move the Knight Ridder headquarters to San Jose after the fiasco.
My worry is
Because of the convention, there will be a marked increased activity by terrorists in Afghanistan and Iraq, something the media can shake their heads over every night, implying that the Republican convention is frivilous in light of such death. And the anti-war Left will use it to justify their street performances.
I sure hope not. I don't hold the media in high esteem but they are acting like people on the edge of desperation in this election.
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