It appears as though Bush is surging in Ohio and Florida, opening up 4- or 5-point leads in each state. If he wins both Ohio and Florida, along with picking up Nevada and New Mexico, which pretty much looks certain, Bush is re-elected. Then, Wisconsin and Minnesota aren't needed, which is good, because Kerry appears to be surging in those two states. If Bush were to lose Florida, then Iowa, Wisconsin and maybe Hawaii become quite important.
So for now I'm watching Ohio today as Ahnold stumps. This election, as I can see it, can go three ways:
1 . A narrow Kerry win
2. A narrow Bush win
3. A large Bush win, if he captures, WI, IA, FL and OH
We'll know in a couple days. If Kerry captures his narrow victory by taking WI and OH, keep an eye on PN. Looks like a judge said absentee ballots can be counted through 11/10. There has been debate over whether or not military personnel in Iraq could get their ballots here on time. They'll now have a few more days to do so, which will secure their votes. Remember, 70% of military personnel are voting for Bush. And the absentee military vote is expected to potentiall make a difference in PN.
Isn't this fun?
No comments:
Post a Comment